Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 11.663772 13.416215 15.294332 17.451285 19.854252 22.443211 25.437578
2025-07-20 9.339362 11.713135 14.435858 17.768242 21.713821 26.212808 31.705750
2025-07-27 7.851492 10.526154 13.756527 17.901591 23.031326 29.121222 36.842708
2025-08-03 6.528125 9.290174 12.781952 17.450120 23.449298 30.816455 40.453738
2025-08-10 5.550527 8.340802 12.016662 17.113220 23.882458 32.441247 43.939080
2025-08-17 4.755990 7.524220 11.314455 16.749077 24.187005 33.840846 47.119917
2025-08-24 4.117236 6.841350 10.709622 16.432423 24.483754 35.185721 50.223328
2025-08-31 3.526584 6.154234 10.022498 15.922744 24.447424 36.039169 52.658400
2025-09-07 3.183214 5.801388 9.779604 16.010323 25.220050 37.987472 56.605528
2025-09-14 2.868247 5.455381 9.509685 16.023803 25.864362 39.758039 60.344294
2025-09-21 2.629686 5.206564 9.362792 16.199908 26.736060 41.860609 64.595176
2025-09-28 2.376658 4.903439 9.100070 16.169432 27.282050 43.498337 68.221404
2025-10-05 2.226081 4.768317 9.103935 16.564152 28.499674 46.170690 73.447668
2025-10-12 2.072935 4.611267 9.056401 16.867627 29.583044 48.676608 78.506396
2025-10-19 1.906233 4.408890 8.911916 16.995356 30.385044 50.776915 83.018496
2025-10-26 1.672301 4.046930 8.455081 16.562936 30.260157 51.453710 85.413618
2025-11-02 1.481066 3.746305 8.080513 16.240306 30.285618 52.345227 88.138774
2025-11-09 1.308140 3.461163 7.708133 15.891641 30.240747 53.110879 90.676637
2025-11-16 1.159963 3.209630 7.376059 15.588493 30.248394 53.946057 93.329444
2025-11-23 1.008350 2.928759 6.960354 15.100645 29.908174 54.200420 95.066569
2025-11-30 0.930458 2.809557 6.856689 15.184465 30.557321 56.067265 99.387020
2025-12-07 0.852958 2.680704 6.721554 15.197367 31.076609 57.730409 103.418494
2025-12-14 0.795903 2.595325 6.669792 15.365923 31.876324 59.875370 108.272158